Economy and finance

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Drawing on statistical learning theory, we derive out-of-sample and optimality guarantees about the investment strategy obtained from a regularized portfoli...

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We consider several time series and for each of them, we fit an appropriate dynamic parametric model. This produces serially independent error terms for each...

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For nearest neighbor univariate random walks in a periodic environment, where the probability of moving depends on a periodic function, we show how to estim...

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Given \(n\) points, a symmetric dissimilarity matrix \(D\) of dimensions \(n\times n\) and an integer \(p\geq 2\), the \(p\)-dispersion problem (pD...

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Operations Research (OR) has a very important role to play in credit scoring for building models that can help the lending organization to make a good decisi...

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In this paper, we propose an intuitive way to couple several dynamic time series models even when there are no innovations. This extends previous work for m...

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In its reform of the US bankruptcy procedure, the American Bankruptcy Institute (ABI) is proposing to grant a redemption option to junior creditors and let...

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In this paper, we consider non-stationary response variables and covariates, where the marginal distributions and the associated copula may be time-dependent...

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Generally, the semiclosed-form option pricing formula for complex financial models depends on unobservable factors such as stochastic volatility and jump int...

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Wrong-way risk arises when the value of a financial transaction is adversely correlated with the creditworthiness of the counterparty. This paper investiga...

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The third installment of the Basel Accords advocates a capital charge against Credit Valuation Adjustment (CVA) variability. We propose an efficient numeri...

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We analyze a transboundary pollution differential game where, in addition to the standard temporal dimension, a spatial dimension is introduced to capture th...

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Parrondo's paradox is extended to regime switching random walks in random environments. The paradoxical behavior of the resulting random walk is explained...

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We use NORTA (NORmal To Anything) to enhance normal credit-risk factor settings in modeling common risk factors and capturing contagion effects...

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The survivorship bias in credit risk modeling is the bias that results in parameter estimates when the survival of a company is ignored. We study the statist...

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We analyze the effect of non-constant discounting on economic growth and social welfare in an endogenous growth model with pollution externalities. For ti...

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This note revisits the problem of how to select an equilibrium in a differential game in the case of multiplicity of Nash equilibria. Most of the previous ap...

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Partially observed major minor LQG mean field game theory is applied to an optimal execution problem in finance; following standard financial models, control...

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We examine the stability of international environmental agreements when they include both adaptation and mitigation policies. We assume that adaptation req...

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We propose an analytical formula for the evaluation of compound options when the underlying asset is described by a two-states Markov regime-switching log-...

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