Groupe d’études et de recherche en analyse des décisions

G-2014-76

An analysis of the impacts of new oil pipelines projects on the Canadian energy sector with a TIMES model for Canada

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Oil industry plays currently a major role in the Canadian economy. In the future, further developments of the oil sector will be affected by the ability to transport crude oil (mainly from Western Canada) to consuming regions in Canada and abroad. This paper analyzes different crude oil exportation scenarios based on existing pipeline expansions and the development of new pipelines. We use for this a multi-regional TIMES energy model for Canada. Our results indicate that: i) the exporting capacity will be an important driver for oil production levels in Canada, and ii) impacts on the other Canadian energy sectors are rather limited.

, 14 pages