Mathematical Modeling for Short-Term Hydropower Optimization: New Formulations and a Predictive Approach
Sara Séguin – Associate Professor, Department of Computer Science and Mathematics, Université du Québec à Chicoutimi, Canada
Part of the thematic semester: Decision support for the energy transition.
Seminar in hybrid format at GERAD room 4488 or Zoom.
Hydropower scheduling involves optimizing the operations of a hydropower system, which typically includes multiple turbines across interconnected power plants. Managing such a system requires solving a variety of optimization models, particularly the short-term hydropower scheduling problem. The solution to this problem determines the water discharges at each power plant, reservoir volumes, and the specific turbines in operation for each timestep within the planning horizon—usually spanning from an hour to a day, over a total horizon of one to several weeks. The short-term hydropower scheduling problem is challenging due to the nonlinear and nonconvex nature of hydropower production functions, and by turbine efficiencies. In regulated market settings, where energy prices can be neglected, these production functions can be modeled with high precision. However, in deregulated market settings, the inclusion of energy prices introduces additional uncertainty, further complicating a problem already affected by unpredictable natural inflows into reservoirs. This talk will focus on the short-term hydropower scheduling problem, emphasizing mathematical formulations for both regulated and deregulated market settings. Additionally, it will explore the prediction of plant operations, leveraging the extensive data available from hydropower producers.
Location
Pavillon André-Aisenstadt
Campus de l'Université de Montréal
2920, chemin de la Tour
Montréal Québec H3T 1J4
Canada